An evolving model · v2.1.0
The financial model
What the Collective costs, and what it brings in.
A pro forma you can argue with, for the Catalyst Collective: an ongoing membership, by invitation. The defaults are Colton's starting assumptions from the September 17 council; every blank is meant to be corrected by someone who knows better. Change a number and the table and charts update. Copy the link to share your version, or send it straight to Colton. Below it sits a second set of numbers: Brittany Lorenzi's preliminary budget from September 18, with its own levers.
Every number adjustable
The model
Five years at a glance
Members over time
Who is in the room at the end of each year, and how many graduated into EO along the way.
Money over time
Dues and other revenue against the dedicated resource, fixed costs, and events. The line is net.
The pro forma
Today, for comparison: Bridge
How the model works, in plain words
- Each year a Catalyst class graduates. The share who accept an invitation join the Collective that year (year 1 also starts with the recruited past graduates).
- Everyone who is a member during a year pays that year's dues. Movement happens at year end.
- From each new class, a fixed number graduate into EO within their first year. Of the continuing members, a share graduates into EO each year, and of everyone left, the retention share stays. The rest leave.
- Costs are the dedicated resource, the fixed lines, the EC bundle per member if any, and the events: attendance times food and beverage, plus speaker, AV and venue, with the EO House share of events costing no rent. Contingency sits on top of all of it.
- Break-even members is the fixed cost divided by the margin per member (dues minus the per-member EC cost). It ignores events, which mostly scale with attendance, so treat it as a floor.
- The EO impact line is informational: EO dues and initiation are not Collective revenue, but they show what the pipeline is worth to the chapter.
Things the model cannot know yet
- Whether Collective dues credit toward EO initiation (a chapter revenue question, not a Collective one).
- What the EC bundle actually costs, and whether it is inside the dues or on top.
- Whether repeat-Catalyst pricing changes Catalyst's own loss.
- Belmont's workshop partnership: free, sponsored, or paid.
Perspective: Brittany Lorenzi
Brittany's preliminary budget
Brittany built this two-year revenue and expense forecast with Sameera Lowe and David Frazier, before Colton's pages existed, and sent it to Colton on October 8. In her words: "a very very high level start of a Revenue forecast for Catalyst Collective without getting Colton's information. I think we could definitely spend more on this depending on what type of workshops we end up with. The learning & social allocation piece is a big part of the expense. I did put in for Rainey to help with start up and then add $1k/month to her retainer to help oversee the program."
It is reproduced here exactly as she built it, with her numbers as the defaults and every fee and count turned into a lever. Where it touches the concept model above: she assumes $2,500 dues (the model above defaults to $3,000), 50% of graduates joining, 90% retention with half of the retained converting to EO in year 2, Rainey Cronin as the paid operator instead of a dedicated staff hire, and a per-member learning and social allocation instead of per-event costs. Neither table changes the other; they are two ways to see the same program.
Her two years at a glance
Her budget, line by line
The table mirrors her spreadsheet: fee times count equals amount, her chair notes on the right. People can be fractional here because her model carries expected values (8.1 ongoing members), shown as she built it.
One transcription note: her sheet's year-2 cell for the recruitment event reads $1, with the fee and count columns transposed on that row. The default here assumes the same one $500 event as year 1.
Your turn
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